SimpleFunctions
PolymarketAug 11, 202694 days left

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$6K volume
$16K liquidity
13% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$44K

Best sibling

Melisa Hortman 0¢

Ticker

0xa718870d…31f0

Market snapshot

Angie Craig in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6K. In the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Angie Craig

Family rank

#2 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

17¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 11, 2026

Reported volume

$6K

Family context

10 outcomes · Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-83¢

Family leader

Peggy Flanagan 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: 0xa718870d98c2f9c76efd54629365c24fe87804eb1b28e287ca5344b5924931f0. Family volume: $44K.

Price history

17¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 17¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢789
16¢431
14¢100
13¢1.4K
5¢305
4¢350
3¢170
2¢105
AskSize
17¢200
18¢401
19¢668
20¢211
21¢74
23¢174
24¢204
25¢74

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Identifier

0xa718870d…31f0

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 15¢, +2¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1904.2%

IY (No)

79.9%

Adj IY

1680%

CRI

5

RV

537%

VR

1.27

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1904.2%
79.9%
Adj IY
1680%
5
RV
537%
VR
1.27
IAR
1.0/h
LAS
0.12

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