Tarik Skubal to win MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young
Tarik Skubal is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner.
Price history
1¢ current
−24¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Tarik Skubal
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Cam Schlittler 42¢
Range
0¢-42¢
Family volume
$120K
Identifier
0x77f3245a...3b6b
May 26, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$525
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Closes
Nov 12, 2026
Family volume
$120K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 12, 2026
Identifier
0x77f3245a…3b6b
Event family
MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$120K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Cam Schlittler 42¢
Current share
9%
Cam Schlittler
polymarket · 0xff1e63f197af4d9a2d6d30947ebd71c277a28fa9dfaa7dbbdcc0cf3d3b2f186a
Jacob deGrom
polymarket · 0xeb8e70afb7cb9baf07dbee3079d87c0933012ff9491ad177e05afa5532308b6d
Dylan Cease
polymarket · 0x581ff17b196a1ce81f9d6f30b2cbe712c72a14b2937019f99a1d8a8e61882ab4
Parker Messick
polymarket · 0x720cf4c6448d32730d7e80c39231ab1da2eed6aeb723f2f0991c96e1c4fa8ef9
Bryan Woo
polymarket · 0x62a30708b1960bd54ac2891b0ef65dcc3675375fd8f6b3a0641d7e2607fd392b
Gavin Williams
polymarket · 0x12f92dbd7c10d696c91644acd6ff49647ec99c8bc57023557bf0ab1bab8b3956
Kevin Gausman
polymarket · 0x77d8cc73129aa8e77d2b546a1acaa327b4451fbbaa9d9d5f8de473f8d4f19084
Tarik Skubal
polymarket · 0x77f3245af5c8ce72dedf0575e096ab97c9cb5721e610dc3806b69b21bf1e3b6b
Garrett Crochet
polymarket · 0x7b0a34af1fa60521b3b1b5d6ec83231957f36db75233454b6dc74907a07a4262
Jose Soriano
polymarket · 0xe7daac449fc858f5e86d8021d74cdbff190c7d13f89b96accf7cdcae87a07451
Pablo Lopez
polymarket · 0x37ec5486b26017b861c04626bf418d71fe05573a44635e8f9412d76063e4d0d6
Logan Gilbert
polymarket · 0x4ec30476fb16c527e9f9615585fea03b5037088117282ee188b4a27176c3814a
Cole Ragans
polymarket · 0x2c95693cdc0b3d497c68b997c2d712c8e077cc989a2b2cdb6ef79b74838a5dab
George Kirby
polymarket · 0x5a04ea780e4b9bdc2099b8fbf97d50e38e12f758ee8f9aedb5d80785a9d91377
Joe Ryan
polymarket · 0x17ed1791d55e8a63b4c4423d41c94d15a6a67b35179e4861e9c23f5276115dc0
Max Fried
polymarket · 0x10cce99cc91b343ae6cde8fb4fb28cd7a28ed32a2d6f0ee4a0e8516413666778
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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