Toronto Blue Jays to win MLB: 2026 AL East
Toronto Blue Jays is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside MLB: 2026 AL East Champion.
Price history
1¢ current
−19¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
New York Yankees 61¢
Range
1¢-61¢
Family volume
$34K
Identifier
0x11571c05...ce8d
May 27, 2026, 4:04 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · MLB: 2026 AL East Champion
Closes
Oct 11, 2026
Family volume
$34K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 11, 2026
Identifier
0x11571c05…ce8d
Event family
MLB: 2026 AL East Champion.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
New York Yankees 61¢
Current share
10%
New York Yankees
polymarket · 0x69820b6f34e5099f75efbfcec5b2ca098ee07980dfe52631c5231b85bbfd5555
Tampa Bay Rays
polymarket · 0xa548c5cc501be3658b5626db634e1a80467321896e02a82324d6fec384babdb6
Baltimore Orioles
polymarket · 0xd8696c2d4d3e039d89d38aa10aed815e2bc65eba839534ada212242a3b5a3104
Boston Red Sox
polymarket · 0xa87b0be03d2c552438f5482b1ba29334d647e1012a114a009a9104e623bcb4c7
Toronto Blue Jays
polymarket · 0x11571c05663b5bfae0a04ccbe8a5ed61b7d32279cfb29e076059b3214284ce8d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.