Pittsburgh Pirates to win MLB: 2026 NL Central
Pittsburgh Pirates is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside MLB: 2026 NL Central Champion .
Price history
6¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB National League Central division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 National League Central division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Pittsburgh Pirates
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Milwaukee Brewers 76¢
Range
3¢-76¢
Family volume
$126K
Identifier
0x1be0f710...be23
Jun 17, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$69
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · MLB: 2026 NL Central Champion
Closes
Oct 11, 2026
Family volume
$126K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB National League Central division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 National League Central division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 11, 2026
Identifier
0x1be0f710…be23
Event family
MLB: 2026 NL Central Champion .
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$126K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Milwaukee Brewers 76¢
Current share
70%
Milwaukee Brewers
polymarket · 0x8c4ba79bcb32339fe4fe551d93c88926ad754af9a3b5b5420cb3fcf789848847
Chicago Cubs
polymarket · 0x199f7cf57ee904becec07d6f3668ade524d66dfe8d6415c46a6c15258fe149df
Pittsburgh Pirates
polymarket · 0x1be0f71067ed32e0979046ce7d95db47326b95625926c8bd9bfcc868dd0cbe23
St. Louis Cardinals
polymarket · 0xbfa1863720fa72ed372c22da4baa321add1d51ebb3781c77101e462acff7ab3b
Cincinnati Reds
polymarket · 0x31563ec832a5f38691ac8f7e861af432a3cf7b9aa8a88c2fe0d307d795b27c47
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.