Taylor Ward · MLB: RBIs Leader
Taylor Ward is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside MLB: RBIs Leader.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Taylor Ward
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Aaron Judge 20¢
Range
1¢-20¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
0x174b1224...21f3
May 26, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$515
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · MLB: RBIs Leader
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 28, 2026
Identifier
0x174b1224…21f3
Event family
MLB: RBIs Leader.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Aaron Judge 20¢
Current share
22%
Aaron Judge
polymarket · 0xbc28d92c08f105390938288ba18a4e500978bcc8880eb7b07401e4e4d503160f
Yordan Alvarez
polymarket · 0x23be53d073eb2155dcbb15df03dc05d4ea25d4a7ebfe125e2287a24adbc443be
CJ Abrams
polymarket · 0xac8ae155fa91d4e3dd706a134ae1d165158f2e53ee8447175b3296cba280bed2
Liam Hicks
polymarket · 0x3fab924bf42cd498dff590c07065837dc99b47260ae7656e203c7fc36ce5184d
Drake Baldwin
polymarket · 0x560d0294b71c4bb9a30761db16b8ada0cbcef4a173178add33b5477405d82827
Nico Hoerner
polymarket · 0x254611d2073961eb9ea195ba9127cbff240c286f913c98e96747cbb971fadcfe
Pete Alonso
polymarket · 0x08e8708b96cc4d1bdc59dfb445d89b2a861e6e4156cfa569b804319a2536d8e7
Oneil Cruz
polymarket · 0x414a23077ee5ed629a1a7bcdaafaafcf3f23dc67bb8389a5a86f899ac5a51204
Sal Stewart
polymarket · 0x0b1404176eba99327a388835b465b1ee7e720baa9d84c907377f3e3e490cc878
Juan Soto
polymarket · 0x3f0f4ecb3e48bc18c8c4d814ca429cbcd4deb23ad0e4fab7e5daea8b80744881
Brandon Lowe
polymarket · 0x46dfefc64a6bb8ce86834da275e4265b865664bab4e9fa4ec99bd4b58d527721
Junior Caminero
polymarket · 0xcd8a8fe77afbb77e046f0496108c7b2ab8659af0829add90488256f116adda05
Taylor Ward
polymarket · 0x174b1224d4226b0c0c6d0ffcb8c12421d70e9b948378ff031180e5bd5b5821f3
Seiya Suzuki
polymarket · 0xf6df5e9fd1e067952b2c9726fb987e9f7e3a01338a09fd704c12a41cf7dcf8ff
James Wood
polymarket · 0x119abe0c6b237eb1c74a9a92a6d4037d62407c1d168a75d07c52e026047a3e2f
Jorge Soler
polymarket · 0x5b551cb452c36567feca7fcae3259bad5dc63e7569ed9d72dfd36adabf9c530d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.