Lindy Waters III · NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP
Lindy Waters III is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP.
Price history
0¢ current
−49¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Lindy Waters III
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 76¢
Range
0¢-76¢
Family volume
$114K
Identifier
0x81132782...a63d
May 27, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$166
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Family volume
$114K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Identifier
0x81132782…a63d
Event family
NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$114K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 76¢
Current share
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
polymarket · 0x751209175bad31623cf007e485764b087f89b48c85235b55e9ecdaa380445f6c
Victor Wembanyama
polymarket · 0xb083f3b8895b91ff00760854ccbd882163b81de6313994f586035ef8d8ab4852
Alex Caruso
polymarket · 0x3e885be68e6de73a97d7bce87ba313cd0f3a1af51fb4f0acf99cbd88fa379703
Stephon Castle
polymarket · 0x1405a39aa13f203e896ee3da0b4ba06101b338508da9381a64552609870a4885
Chet Holmgren
polymarket · 0xb6bdc59cd706440f5fe1af65295683fa1c5446ea87ea42ecb7c62d4cc29e82c5
Kawhi Leonard
polymarket · 0xe2240b4b52bcabd7a6e9ccc43be4e350265c6b1a9d73dce7c857ddf681d654e2
Anthony Edwards
polymarket · 0x66387705163c55b3b5c77c636695ece76f640e923aab9cb0a97c2ddabb9f70af
Deni Avdija
polymarket · 0x43f29eda7db23de1673da908f116bb8bb424ac342da60096367c76fee22fe258
De'Aaron Fox
polymarket · 0xd62948935ddbb45ace1b8e29c73d69775a7063d7c6a0f546601f92e743e25e98
Luka Doncic
polymarket · 0x41615e25ed962a3b0216b597cef2ed03b65815f0652bc3c98fb61d232aec16fe
Bismack Biyombo
polymarket · 0x058fd6945c2e62bdd321756dfdb5c27999be7a2b28015ae29569cf884e3eac78
Devin Booker
polymarket · 0x98cb0b5b34c5620107abd6fb9248046508d8da3b0321d2fbc557577518914ee7
Ajay Mitchell
polymarket · 0x308237f97d398281a26e55bd3af1508a67125108e5fe7fc540f605130fb2a81b
Julius Randle
polymarket · 0x34b675da7f1f3e1d90161ff85612e72ec27e28f79b2beaed59434ad3a6b3ac68
Jalen Williams
polymarket · 0xf5d9a698fe2d6d03b10441acf8cf56a3a3d82ac78b6c6ddefde3fa4c57ba6323
Lindy Waters III
polymarket · 0x811327824118a04868269fb6f40845d01a6662c34bf8e9882a725301e440a63d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.