SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 9, 2026

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-09?

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$461 volume
$246K liquidity
11% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

New England Revolution 36¢

Ticker

0xca6e2aed…9904

Market snapshot

Philadelphia Union in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-09?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $252. In the New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC.

Outcome

Philadelphia Union

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

36¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Past listed close May 9, 2026

24h volume

$252

Family context

3 outcomes · New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union

Quote range

28¢-36¢

Family leader

Philadelphia Union 36¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0xca6e2aed31fa0173671ee61391dcfb0cffe2d6c8462649bba6f56be169a49904. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

36¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 36¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
35¢6.5K
34¢9.4K
33¢3.3K
32¢6.3K
31¢18K
30¢823
29¢20K
28¢24K
AskSize
36¢1.2K
37¢5.5K
38¢7.9K
39¢4.8K
40¢1.6K
41¢13K
42¢378
43¢26K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9, 2026 If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 9, 2026

Identifier

0xca6e2aed…9904

Event family

New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Philadelphia Union 36¢

Current share

11%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

New Market Price Formation: The First 24 Hours of a Listed Contract

When a binary contract first lists, the price moves through four phases: maker seeding, discovery flow, tentative consensus, stable pricing. Trading rules and the maker opportunity in phases 1 and 2.

Opinionanalysis

The Overround Illusion: Why EE > 0 Isn't Free Money

Event Overround at +0.06 looks like a 6% guaranteed return. After fees and slippage, the trade is usually negative. The interesting use of EE is changes over time, not the raw level.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index