Doug Turner to win New Mexico Governor Republican Primary
Doug Turner is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner.
Price history
7¢ current
−43¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome
Doug Turner
Rank
#2 of 10
Leader
Greg Hull 87¢
Range
0¢-87¢
Family volume
$868K
Identifier
0x3aeca727...75e9
May 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$368
Family rank
#2 of 10
10 outcomes · New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$868K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x3aeca727…75e9
Event family
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$868K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Greg Hull 87¢
Current share
0%
Greg Hull
polymarket · 0x120b15af9f5f44bf673580aec6e6e555f8bed923e5d3979fcda2617c154ad3d1
Doug Turner
polymarket · 0x3aeca7273eaaa4a8d51747d349811f6bab5638ccf9fcebc364be9c3ea26775e9
Duke Rodriguez
polymarket · 0x0c048cf588a0127e8591f98c08f84dd23685def967bd60338703260c5fb32669
Steve Lanier
polymarket · 0x73dd96f3ab77ff7fa578faaf10c47e02b047b10b3335d73743ec0c5cd5df6dcd
Mark Murphy
polymarket · 0xc69548f5139ebcad8a997ad0c3a9ba66752f72f57597b816bfa201b29f4ad194
Susana Martinez
polymarket · 0x436e650ac97dedba889f9e2b1c0bc00a950fb579fce79f5338c4ac5b18ccf613
Judith Nakamura
polymarket · 0x261f8c417b9d3fdc4015bd68516a937cb8bb930916e03528eb4d9b7820cc7fbd
Belinda Robertson
polymarket · 0xf96a84e1a8b493ef004ea1606b346ea377243e879efb3f58658ec557a965fe61
Brian Cillessen
polymarket · 0xd50e6c773c1dc737c7b629d48b0a1873ee5ef222c7a9b5d897556517f3215616
John Sanchez
polymarket · 0x53f61250dc2d9c668ed934336234a76325d706f9fb50b43520bd435a46230b00
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.