Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$38.3M
Best sibling
François Asselineau 1¢
Ticker
0x6ad63235…3842
Price history
1¢ current
−49¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Identifier
0x6ad63235…3842
Event family
Next French Presidential Election.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$38.3M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Fabien Roussel 1¢
Current share
5%
Fabien Roussel
polymarket · 0x6ad63235931f80951a48f2338956dea7bb70c97f99a7bd03f5f501d6e4673842
François Asselineau
polymarket · 0xaba4bb720c6c1b2e48087f5af4a57fd1e9f05814a936e9f6b1c37f10436a34fc
François Bayrou
polymarket · 0x3a8209fbd45fef3be23fb3480eb1c961c85f7bdd07d4a3391f5949252156c594
Élisabeth Borne
polymarket · 0x0b298ab2b2cad3308d486c804985c1ede7ea949bde363f44784a3b2a460be788
Mathilde Panot
polymarket · 0x06ea9c02b4c6a2f7f07f78e21411bd367636564edb27c72cd038b556aada1a64
Clémentine Autain
polymarket · 0x2bf80d93be42dac6c1b03298b5ec329a4b9f87b689c7892d544d1029f3a0caf0
Michel Barnier
polymarket · 0x6ccebbc57547f8b777aa4ef70a452bb5034055d183131a9b6db47fd8d0777921
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
polymarket · 0x637a2423461f5b531fef314e1e14982b80819de217e32f4f96653caa8af2c47a
Ségolène Royal
polymarket · 0x34ed4ad7a7825f168e1084f53e8f60a161579d783b2740e50aa52f710925a136
Clémence Guetté
polymarket · 0x1779552bade1ad85d35b2e5128136ea04602f26e2b67b7e1b6f9ec46ea8811d3
Yaël Braun-Pivet
polymarket · 0xfd431e070263b5f24e43a8fc44532bf41aa008d99cab2330d979913b1c580bd2
Manuel Bompard
polymarket · 0xa6c3848b7861841cc9d93a5c2c1d26b3f44e0298a49889968a627214a2b177ae
Carole Delga
polymarket · 0xcd050c1af02067e33e03861ff6f67c1c85def8bf4bd196256e6d2b178509533b
Valérie Pécresse
polymarket · 0x2859bb44f6c8feac18494db286c2a8b55d9e7394a8366bc8c58cfde353e41c90
Xavier Bertrand
polymarket · 0x06a27c2810eaca94b53e7a17f15ad47761399ba445a6b02039b2679da203262d
Olivier Faure
polymarket · 0xbac8d3ca6cc7297022850562d9d66669d5e0a112767337f8a5955417f1984b54
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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