SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 3, 2027239 days left

Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$2K volume
$22K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$62K

Best sibling

Steve Daines 5¢

Ticker

0xdc1ced17…87a8

Market snapshot

John Barrasso in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $104. In the Next Senate Majority Leader? family, this outcome ranks #9 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

John Barrasso

Family rank

#9 of 11

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 3, 2027

24h volume

$104

Family context

11 outcomes · Next Senate Majority Leader?

Quote range

2¢-25¢

Family leader

Chuck Schumer 25¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Venue identifier: 0xdc1ced170c2c3cdca1f825a1da0734965dcf691216f73265188af2c9143087a8. Family volume: $62K.

Price history

3¢ current

4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
100¢465
100¢100
100¢94
100¢54
2¢120
2¢51
0¢10K
AskSize
3¢15
4¢165
4¢338
4¢200
5¢1.0K
6¢368
25¢30
25¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

0xdc1ced17…87a8

Event family

Next Senate Majority Leader.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$62K

Outcomes

11

Highest price

Chuck Schumer 25¢

Current share

4%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4941.5%

IY (No)

4.7%

Adj IY

4942%

CRI

32

RV

5331%

VR

5.97

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4941.5%
4.7%
Adj IY
4942%
32
RV
5331%
VR
5.97
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
0.0%

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