SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 3, 2027239 days left

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 20¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$2K volume
$16K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$62K

Best sibling

Steve Daines 5¢

Ticker

0xe77b34ea…74d8

Market snapshot

John Thune in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Next Senate Majority Leader? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

John Thune

Family rank

#2 of 11

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 3, 2027

Reported volume

$2K

Family context

11 outcomes · Next Senate Majority Leader?

Quote range

2¢-25¢

Family leader

Chuck Schumer 25¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Venue identifier: 0xe77b34eac7f4da018d919b06f4068cbda9c95247db49dd9d7030721381de74d8. Family volume: $62K.

Price history

22¢ current

15¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 23¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
20¢240
19¢510
18¢20
15¢100
13¢121
11¢100
10¢200
6¢200
AskSize
23¢30
24¢453
25¢300
27¢80
29¢200
38¢20
39¢320
40¢968

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

0xe77b34ea…74d8

Event family

Next Senate Majority Leader.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$62K

Outcomes

11

Highest price

Chuck Schumer 25¢

Current share

4%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

541.9%

IY (No)

43.1%

Adj IY

542%

CRI

4

RV

1378%

VR

6.53

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

541.9%
43.1%
Adj IY
542%
4
RV
1378%
VR
6.53
IAR
5.0/h
Overround
0.0%

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