Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
This contract is priced at 18¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 15¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
11
Family volume
$62K
Best sibling
Steve Daines 5¢
Ticker
0x31352af4…e65a
Market snapshot
Tom Cotton in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?. The displayed quote is 18¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $245. In the Next Senate Majority Leader? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Tom Cotton
Family rank
#3 of 11
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
18¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 3, 2027
24h volume
$245
Family context
11 outcomes · Next Senate Majority Leader?
Quote range
2¢-25¢
Family leader
Chuck Schumer 25¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: 0x31352af4d7500394fe9e42d889457b455472ee406c6d3dcd0d1e78f656ede65a. Family volume: $62K.
Price history
18¢ current
+16¢Orderbook snapshot
15 / 21¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Identifier
0x31352af4…e65a
Event family
Next Senate Majority Leader.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$62K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Chuck Schumer 25¢
Current share
9%
Tom Cotton
polymarket · 0x31352af4d7500394fe9e42d889457b455472ee406c6d3dcd0d1e78f656ede65a
Steve Daines
polymarket · 0x31d22f7e07d0f4c4b217c3264ade5083fc41650844369508da10b932bb06c333
Lindsey Graham
polymarket · 0x0f8ba4259a1b9f7fcbed4cc0297ce177f09802e95ba778462582c1e882a4c40b
Chuck Schumer
polymarket · 0x99dcf0abf02cdbd62e6a17a95c68f7864be5f5779d25d44cf7ea134f5d7979a9
Amy Klobuchar
polymarket · 0x010f83f40f7937f9aa9f96535b0e5b4da0a0fc72535858974114daa08f109f67
Mark Kelly
polymarket · 0x08dd73823692954b349d37553101cf749f5f84dc547ee43f51984f811675250c
John Barrasso
polymarket · 0xdc1ced170c2c3cdca1f825a1da0734965dcf691216f73265188af2c9143087a8
Brian Schatz
polymarket · 0xfa1768e810b24af494183e9a5a175fd66f362223fed774a6e498b11494b8a628
John Thune
polymarket · 0xe77b34eac7f4da018d919b06f4068cbda9c95247db49dd9d7030721381de74d8
Patty Murray
polymarket · 0x9bb2ff96232df5dc501137ee711e0dfef0056ee1754f8308330d8d4369e59e14
Cory Booker
polymarket · 0x68bdc81862795e3572a2df9e0ad2e0150c9e2450c3ce78d3534bdcfd7da3ef5b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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