SimpleFunctions

Robert Jenrick · Next UK Prime Minister in 2026

Robert Jenrick is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

0¢ current

−50¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Robert Jenrick

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Andy Burnham 46¢

Range

0¢-46¢

Family volume

$7.2M

Identifier

0x6b4b89bb...e02b

May 26, 2026, 3:57 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 26, 2026, 3:57 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

0¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$49

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$7.2M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢348K
AskSize
0¢100
0¢10K
0¢94K
2¢30
100¢205
100¢200
100¢2.8K
100¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x6b4b89bb…e02b

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7.2M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Andy Burnham 46¢

Current share

5%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Andy Burnham

polymarket · 0x763a7f1e440693b54c56da02d338c2092053567dd865174387d06ee5612fdc9e

46¢
$639K$10K0.0

No Next PM in 2026

polymarket · 0x360229ef7e200995eeedfab6fd63514c8a43fcee803e8ac6dbe17065bd024d60

28¢
$447K$2K0.0

Angela Rayner

polymarket · 0xe955eda79ad9ac1e9c055edc23fb5134eb2ace68508645d261c4de8db921f8fa

10¢
$499K$924—

Ed Miliband

polymarket · 0x9e329c0e729c96b40014938bc0cb63c1637995c571c7ba39bab72028e92525da

7¢
$351K$3K—

Wes Streeting

polymarket · 0x0de4c5e098c5101f7cce39d11dd3294873381b78c2794b6c6aea3142117f03a1

5¢
$310K$4K0.2

Nigel Farage

polymarket · 0x7ca95f6c38e50e158279df39b2f30dbd005edc94ee64c6e4f50912e40bd16b5c

1¢
$868K$23—

Rachel Reeves

polymarket · 0x3c9119a8f3be868a667b922c13f2370bb14cd61944a6b96388df41aa59238213

1¢
$588K$277—

Shabana Mahmood

polymarket · 0xc11e997578fa83b91b9a0838d90379960628d4834d887c6c5c427576834bc675

1¢
$328K$6K—

Yvette Cooper

polymarket · 0xb3fbac28ca420448a4c4b18a1cb6ef4db17d099e5674f5461fe848397d669382

1¢
$310K$23—

Rupert Lowe

polymarket · 0xf365e4c2d0ed67ffb8263cac97570e02664099fd25d1a8bd201e53dc883d86f1

0¢
$715K$3K—

David Lammy

polymarket · 0xe8320226abf954b7f252d4de969ddacf933a694ade8988834a457e8ce5649e5a

0¢
$399K$5K—

Robert Jenrick

polymarket · 0x6b4b89bb3bfeadcacfd1c256e75dc01e41589c4427387c7114ae6508fbc0e02b

0¢
$386K$49—

Ed Davey

polymarket · 0x8e19827705b34f87e142d1112efbdbf8b66e07fcf523aef5deb08af99be057b1

0¢
$362K$113—

Kemi Badenoch

polymarket · 0xf187c96c1972bff33fb19e543ae44c80f0e158db9d6e6e7d48242b1b83b6d1ae

0¢
$342K$9K—

Lucy Powell

polymarket · 0x74e5ba38a2cb8332c748ef8c74cadc36dc91f406a1a48870aca409c6449b03f5

0¢
$336K$245—

James Cleverly

polymarket · 0xcead388a140c4356ff21d8571bc84ce0f940b3173e248a3d3aa25814aeb354b1

0¢
$306K$23—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.