Norway to win Norway vs Senegal
Norway is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Norway vs Senegal Winner.
Price history
47¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Norway wins the Norway vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Norway
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Norway 45¢
Range
25¢-45¢
Family volume
$52
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN22NORSEN-NOR
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$17
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Norway vs Senegal Winner
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Family volume
$52
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Norway wins the Norway vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN22NORSEN-NOR
Event family
Norway vs Senegal Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$52
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Norway 45¢
Current share
34%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.