SimpleFunctions

Everton to win O´Higgins vs Everton

Everton is priced at 22¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside O´Higgins vs Everton Winner.

Price history

22¢ current

+2¢
15¢20¢25¢
May 28, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Everton wins the O´Higgins vs Everton professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Everton

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

O´Higgins 45¢

Range

20¢-45¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXCHLLDPGAME-26MAY31OHFEVT-EVT

May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · O´Higgins vs Everton Winner

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 23¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
20¢39
19¢1.8K
18¢1.7K
6¢516
5¢1.4K
AskSize
23¢231
24¢1
26¢492
28¢552
29¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Everton wins the O´Higgins vs Everton professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXCHLLDPGAME-26MAY31OHFEVT-EVT

SF Signal
SF Index
4575.94
Regime
neutral

Event family

O´Higgins vs Everton Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

3

Highest price

O´Higgins 45¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9151.9%

IY (No)

572.0%

Adj IY

4576%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9151.9%
572.0%
Adj IY
4576%
4
Overround
-0.1%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.