SimpleFunctions

Tie to win O´Higgins vs Everton

Tie is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside O´Higgins vs Everton Winner.

Price history

29¢ current

+5¢
20¢30¢
May 28, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the O´Higgins vs Everton professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

O´Higgins 45¢

Range

20¢-45¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXCHLLDPGAME-26MAY31OHFEVT-TIE

May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

32¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · O´Higgins vs Everton Winner

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 32¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
26¢40
25¢600
23¢2.4K
6¢582
4¢1.9K
AskSize
32¢870
33¢1.0K
67¢462
68¢1.4K
71¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the O´Higgins vs Everton professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXCHLLDPGAME-26MAY31OHFEVT-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
6511.92
Regime
neutral

Event family

O´Higgins vs Everton Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

3

Highest price

O´Higgins 45¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6511.9%

IY (No)

803.9%

Adj IY

6512%

CRI

3

RV

280%

VR

0.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6511.9%
803.9%
Adj IY
6512%
3
RV
280%
VR
0.33
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.1%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.