SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 16, 202638 days left

Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

This contract is priced at 93¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 92¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

93¢
$12K volume
$14K liquidity
20% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$59K

Best sibling

Markwayne Mullin 0¢

Ticker

0xe3cb2859…b071

Market snapshot

Kevin Hern in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?. The displayed quote is 93¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $21. In the Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Kevin Hern

Family rank

#1 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

93¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 16, 2026

24h volume

$21

Family context

10 outcomes · Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-93¢

Family leader

Kevin Hern 93¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: 0xe3cb2859934ee2fde166693fb9e89f22bdc0316c00dd5abc85e7ee0a53c9b071. Family volume: $59K.

Price history

93¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 93¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
92¢237
91¢166
90¢26
89¢20
86¢100
84¢20
55¢164
53¢60
AskSize
93¢114
94¢170
95¢147
96¢778
97¢197
98¢615
99¢666

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

0xe3cb2859…b071

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 93¢, 0¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

72.6%
12823.0%
Adj IY
6412%
13

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