OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
This contract is priced at 24¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 22¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$269K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x98dbb998…481d
Market snapshot
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?. The displayed quote is 24¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $77. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC.
Outcome
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
24¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$77
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0x98dbb998749ae773baf35697d695f5efdc098def32decd687b91c634d8d0481d. Family volume: $269K.
Price history
24¢ current
−6¢Orderbook snapshot
22 / 25¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange. OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD. Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange. If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed. If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x98dbb998…481d
Event family
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$269K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027 24¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.