OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026 is priced at 83¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 76¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
83¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$24K
Identifier
0x3d597cce...1ecc
May 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$21
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$24K
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 86¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x3d597cce…1ecc
Event family
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$24K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026 81¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.