Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
This contract is priced at 20¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$8K
Best sibling
Mark Sutcliffe 63¢
Ticker
0xeb67de02…8db5
Market snapshot
Jeff Leiper in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $85. In the Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Jeff Leiper
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
20¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Oct 26, 2026
24h volume
$85
Family context
5 outcomes · Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Quote range
2¢-63¢
Family leader
Mark Sutcliffe 63¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: 0xeb67de02decd706560286fd69c9f133f2f016f7fbe35571bde4a116053418db5. Family volume: $8K.
Price history
20¢ current
−30¢Orderbook snapshot
19 / 20¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 26, 2026
Identifier
0xeb67de02…8db5
Event family
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Mark Sutcliffe 63¢
Current share
19%
Jeff Leiper
polymarket · 0xeb67de02decd706560286fd69c9f133f2f016f7fbe35571bde4a116053418db5
Mark Sutcliffe
polymarket · 0xc4aaf626324e7fb7c855e5190336de1ecae44fcb77a3e13a962cff0420478827
Catherine McKenney
polymarket · 0xcd0cf3f5c7a33e4778f1f85407f6daf9e6bc6a54b1b25ee6e8f7d2a3e927f03b
Alex Lawson
polymarket · 0x7fe9902db2894b487f8a282064bb41a24973b0e2c84a01a9125e7027cf5ae507
Neil Saravanamuttoo
polymarket · 0x76f5892d4357a7e75c893c98b6739185f1f1d209b699bc67c25fc0c33ee49578
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 20% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.