SimpleFunctions
PolymarketOct 26, 2026170 days left

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

This contract is priced at 63¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 62¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

63¢
$3K volume
$10K liquidity
38% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$8K

Best sibling

Jeff Leiper 20¢

Ticker

0xc4aaf626…8827

Market snapshot

Mark Sutcliffe in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 63¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Mark Sutcliffe

Family rank

#1 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

63¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 26, 2026

Reported volume

$3K

Family context

5 outcomes · Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Quote range

2¢-63¢

Family leader

Mark Sutcliffe 63¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: 0xc4aaf626324e7fb7c855e5190336de1ecae44fcb77a3e13a962cff0420478827. Family volume: $8K.

Price history

63¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 29, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

62 / 63¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
62¢396
61¢1.7K
60¢1.7K
59¢92
36¢250
35¢200
31¢886
27¢586
AskSize
63¢307
64¢1.3K
65¢515
66¢52
67¢40
72¢30
73¢102
74¢26

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Oct 26, 2026

Identifier

0xc4aaf626…8827

Event family

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$8K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Mark Sutcliffe 63¢

Current share

38%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

126.2%

IY (No)

366.0%

Adj IY

180%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

126.2%
366.0%
Adj IY
180%
2
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.02

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