Tie to win Panama vs England
Tie is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Panama vs England Winner.
Price history
6¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Panama vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
England 82¢
Range
3¢-82¢
Family volume
$12
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN27PANENG-TIE
May 25, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$312
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Panama vs England Winner
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$12
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Panama vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN27PANENG-TIE
Event family
Panama vs England Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12
Outcomes
3
Highest price
England 82¢
Current share
0%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.