SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 14, 202633 days left

PGA Championship: Will Justin Rose finish top 20?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

29¢
$4K volume
$4K liquidity
6% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$75K

Best sibling

Tommy Fleetwood 41¢

Ticker

KXPGATOP20-PGC26-JROS

Market snapshot

Justin Rose in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for PGA Championship: Will Justin Rose finish top 20?. The displayed quote is 29¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4K. In the PGA Championship family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Justin Rose

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

29¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 14, 2026

24h volume

$4K

Family context

16 outcomes · PGA Championship

Quote range

17¢-75¢

Family leader

Scottie Scheffler 75¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGATOP20-PGC26-JROS. Family volume: $75K.

Price history

29¢ current

+28¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 16, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 29¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
28¢108
27¢200
26¢73
25¢60
19¢168
AskSize
29¢131
30¢387
31¢20K
32¢23K
33¢7.7K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Justin Rose finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-PGC26-JROS

SF Signal
SF Index
2719.95
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2820.7%

IY (No)

426.6%

Adj IY

2720%

CRI

3

RV

1682%

VR

2.54

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2820.7%
426.6%
Adj IY
2720%
3
RV
1682%
VR
2.54
IAR
3.5/h
Overround
19.0%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.