Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points is priced at 10¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 7 inside KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY.
Price history
10¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 by more than 9.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
Rank
#7 of 7
Leader
New York wins by over 5.5 points 52¢
Range
9¢-52¢
Family volume
$93
Identifier
KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-PHX10
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#7 of 7
7 outcomes · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$93
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 by more than 9.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-PHX10
Event family
KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$93
Outcomes
7
Highest price
New York wins by over 5.5 points 52¢
Current share
0%
New York wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-NY6
New York wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-NY10
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-PHX2
New York wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-NY14
New York wins by over 17.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-NY18
Phoenix wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-PHX6
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26MAY29PHXNY-PHX10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.