Portugal to win Portugal vs Uzbekistan
Portugal is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner.
Price history
80¢ current
+28¢Contract brief
If Portugal wins the Portugal vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Portugal
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Portugal 79¢
Range
5¢-79¢
Family volume
$61
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN23PORUZB-POR
May 25, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$61
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Family volume
$61
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Portugal wins the Portugal vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN23PORUZB-POR
Event family
Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$61
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Portugal 79¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.