SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2028602 days left

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 77¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 76¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

77¢
$908K volume
$48K liquidity
19% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$4.9M

Best sibling

$300M 65¢

Ticker

0x9c50945d…3d5e

Market snapshot

$200M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 77¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $543. In the Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

$200M

Family rank

#3 of 11

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

77¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2028

24h volume

$543

Family context

11 outcomes · Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

5¢-93¢

Family leader

$50M 93¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e. Family volume: $4.9M.

Price history

77¢ current

+7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 77¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
76¢1.7K
75¢2.0K
74¢23K
73¢1.7K
72¢1.2K
71¢810
70¢246
69¢2.2K
AskSize
77¢10K
78¢11K
79¢10
80¢9
82¢5
83¢2.1K
84¢2.3K
85¢2.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

0x9c50945d…3d5e

Event family

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4.9M

Outcomes

11

Highest price

$50M 93¢

Current share

19%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

18.1%

IY (No)

203.1%

Adj IY

100%

CRI

3

Overround

4.0%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

18.1%
203.1%
Adj IY
100%
3
Overround
4.0%
LAS
0.01

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