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PolymarketMay 17, 20268 days left

Will Bath win?

This contract is priced at 44¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 8¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 72¢ spread.

Implied probability

44¢
$18 volume
$843 liquidity
23% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$78

Best sibling

Draw 5¢

Ticker

0x027b9ce5…c811

Market snapshot

Bath in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Bath win?. The displayed quote is 44¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $18. In the Premiership Rugby: Exeter Chiefs vs Bath family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Bath

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

44¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 17, 2026

Reported volume

$18

Family context

3 outcomes · Premiership Rugby: Exeter Chiefs vs Bath

Quote range

5¢-44¢

Family leader

Bath 44¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0x027b9ce5127db9755e23b53a58e8e660a0ca7c997ca8521bc0e850e2ab53c811. Family volume: $78.

Price history

44¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 80¢

Polymarket
72¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.3K
8¢10
7¢6
6¢12
5¢6
4¢11
3¢256
2¢571
AskSize
80¢5
81¢50
87¢5
88¢210
89¢368
90¢722
91¢608
92¢758

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10 2026 If Bath wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 17, 2026

Identifier

0x027b9ce5…c811

Event family

Premiership Rugby: Exeter Chiefs vs Bath.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$78

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Bath 44¢

Current share

23%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5966.4%

IY (No)

3683.4%

Adj IY

5966%

CRI

1

RV

486%

VR

0.62

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5966.4%
3683.4%
Adj IY
5966%
1
RV
486%
VR
0.62
IAR
2.1/h
Overround
-0.2%

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