Leicester Tigers to win Premiership Rugby:
Leicester Tigers is priced at 45¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Premiership Rugby: Winner.
Price history
45¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final per the rules of English Premiership Rugby (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by English Premiership Rugby rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final is cancelled, postponed after July 4, 2026, 11:59 AM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premiership Rugby; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Leicester Tigers
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Bath 49¢
Range
3¢-49¢
Family volume
$332
Identifier
0xfb07e908...c5a5
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
18¢
24h volume
$83
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Premiership Rugby: Winner
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$332
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final per the rules of English Premiership Rugby (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by English Premiership Rugby rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 English Premiership Rugby Final is cancelled, postponed after July 4, 2026, 11:59 AM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premiership Rugby; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
0xfb07e908…c5a5
Event family
Premiership Rugby: Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$332
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Bath 49¢
Current share
26%
Bath
polymarket · 0x13cb9a049cecd6545e72d6e824dced5ba0b0b353f85370dd6ed26d676c766db1
Leicester Tigers
polymarket · 0xfb07e908c573dbf959c496b79bf19ea25bbd1ead1e9605508b0970f71818c5a5
Northampton Saints
polymarket · 0xf0e59059347942a2de1877abb8b9b0999c4f7f4ea318c27b7dae99a988472a3a
Exeter Chiefs
polymarket · 0x02479a60c19c73f6f3ee1d15bfcd7fec6a99b4f58c3c982f5424c1226872e22f
Saracens
polymarket · 0x7c5abc80060d47fc665d74044faabd3bc14caa0bf371d414725ef3d3d3aeaffa
Bristol Bears
polymarket · 0x440480192b0f1c73d7ad27c77e6f015f58a5f2fa54ccdf9c77d216280e61dadb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.