SimpleFunctions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 78¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1?.

Price history

40¢ current

7¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 30, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the NFL team that Dexter Lawrence is rostered on for Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Cincinnati Bengals 90¢

Range

0¢-90¢

Family volume

$115K

Identifier

0x0eb4a37a...c98a

May 28, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

40¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

Ask

78¢

Spread

78¢

Reported volume

$227

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1?

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$115K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 78¢

Polymarket
78¢ spread
BidSize
0¢2.1K
0¢200
AskSize
78¢100
78¢30
78¢10
79¢8
95¢20
98¢50
98¢27
100¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the NFL team that Dexter Lawrence is rostered on for Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

0x0eb4a37a…c98a

SF Signal
SF Index
498.51
Regime
neutral

Event family

Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$115K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Cincinnati Bengals 90¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Cincinnati Bengals

polymarket · 0x44942063085d8e0147c72c3c36085398b860053288d3831d5c0364ce8c86b12d

90¢
$643$80.1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

polymarket · 0x0eb4a37a9bdaa3c69195597016b1fe54cbc0fcd1c8aac8e6aee195534519c98a

40¢
$227$0

Detroit Lions

polymarket · 0x444ab9e568546c64eda551b76e90438be16242420dcc812bd6ec57ac682c704e

38¢
$266$02.0

Baltimore Ravens

polymarket · 0x3598fab6455658336fe1f0694aa2247121013bbd085e86d2a3d69414a2f195ea

27¢
$2K$0

Las Vegas Raiders

polymarket · 0x11a04ddffd612de9e35c231d08a99b435bbda442a68ee0844f9bb230efa370a4

24¢
$323$0

Seattle Seahawks

polymarket · 0x4b7673dfcc30f65ffc9c1d29ff51d9a6cf0adb5ae571354c06fe9052af928316

15¢
$532$0

New England Patriots

polymarket · 0xe97020c5df4ab15fada2a8c2062fee4b615d7d68e3678695b5492754eb10aa73

5¢
$226$0

San Francisco 49ers

polymarket · 0x9969ecdc30f5c2acfebda6b22edf2d2537a074725557ec0fab4382c4a965c5bb

2¢
$26K$02.0

Washington Commanders

polymarket · 0x456bf0a23855d16c310d0b0d4dfaf7e6de1a96ce1d0695dc2df04b9bf584c925

2¢
$634$222.0

Dallas Cowboys

polymarket · 0x0c050b64aed23a4fd8b9f73491183b7cac333e1a6200dfdb645b391d62ad4f06

2¢
$249$17

Pittsburgh Steelers

polymarket · 0x438b9c7e0110e590f378d12cecb9a0fdb2dcbd56bdbe6283ce61d6a4730ed8c8

1¢
$78K$0

Minnesota Vikings

polymarket · 0x935c49f94e8f63c90e392127af949f8e050ed5a84c06f926548c26d8ba54d851

1¢
$4K$0

Denver Broncos

polymarket · 0x45b47c51fb9f57b94fef763fa8b2f229b9e2338993fcb459342e7ddefcf7e670

1¢
$294$0

Chicago Bears

polymarket · 0x378de2dd14d3f0121d5debe386b63c80452c835da93c06cbfcf3b77c656d2ddc

1¢
$232$0

New Orleans Saints

polymarket · 0x55213ccc171dc62341d25a85be6772355ba3457fea2646cde6df39254da52db1

0¢
$1K$5

Jacksonville Jaguars

polymarket · 0xd3b987cc099d1cdc3f4aae7fcfa37fda751f8c7252a650e6d2765610acef421b

0¢
$204$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

498.5%

IY (No)

221.6%

Adj IY

499%

CRI

2

RV

21511%

VR

16.12

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

498.5%
221.6%
Adj IY
499%
2
RV
21511%
VR
16.12
IAR
2.3/h
Overround
2.7%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.