PSG wins by over 1.5 goals
PSG wins by over 1.5 goals is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS.
Price history
22¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals in the PSG vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
PSG wins by over 1.5 goals
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
PSG wins by over 1.5 goals 21¢
Range
3¢-21¢
Family volume
$43K
Identifier
KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS-PSG1
May 27, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$34K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$43K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals in the PSG vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS-PSG1
Event family
KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$43K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
PSG wins by over 1.5 goals 21¢
Current share
79%
PSG wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS-PSG1
Arsenal wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS-ARS1
PSG wins by over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS-PSG2
Arsenal wins by over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXUCLSPREAD-26MAY30PSGARS-ARS2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.