What is the current probability for "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 30, 2026.

Where can I trade "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

PolymarketJun 30, 2026

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Open on Polymarket JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

2¢

$1.5M volume

$149K liquidity

3% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$46.8M

Best sibling

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026 26¢

Ticker

0x1a1346d7…129e

Price history

2¢ current

−1¢

Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Polymarket

1¢ spread

BidSize

2¢2.2K

2¢2.9K

2¢1.5K

2¢1.2K

2¢3.1K

2¢17K

2¢1.8K

2¢1.1K

AskSize

3¢1.8K

3¢900

3¢948

3¢417

3¢5.9K

3¢1.0K

3¢19K

3¢16K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x1a1346d7…129e

Event family

Ukraine / Russia conflict.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$46.8M

Outcomes