SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Qatar vs Switzerland

Tie is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Qatar vs Switzerland Winner.

Price history

14¢ current

+2¢
10¢
Apr 25, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the Qatar vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Switzerland 75¢

Range

8¢-75¢

Family volume

$148

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN13QATSUI-TIE

May 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

16¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Qatar vs Switzerland Winner

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Family volume

$148

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 16¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
14¢4
13¢34
12¢1.0K
11¢3.6K
10¢2.0K
AskSize
16¢2.0K
17¢1.7K
18¢1.0K
19¢3.6K
20¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the Qatar vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 27, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN13QATSUI-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
2919.60
Regime
neutral

Event family

Qatar vs Switzerland Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$148

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Switzerland 75¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6812.7%

IY (No)

180.5%

Adj IY

2920%

CRI

6

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.14

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6812.7%
180.5%
Adj IY
2920%
6
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.14

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.