Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
This contract is priced at 59¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 43¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 32¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$3K
Best sibling
Increase 43¢
Ticker
0xf2db8d9f…eb71
Market snapshot
No Change in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?. The displayed quote is 59¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $211. In the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
No Change
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
59¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jul 7, 2026
Reported volume
$211
Family context
3 outcomes · Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
Quote range
10¢-59¢
Family leader
No Change 59¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0xf2db8d9fe4f73562ad066daaa6c38a561b44de0e3a44d4403d1645298f58eb71. Family volume: $3K.
Price history
59¢ current
+21¢Orderbook snapshot
43 / 75¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s July monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its July 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their July 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 7, 2026
Identifier
0xf2db8d9f…eb71
Event family
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
No Change 59¢
Current share
8%
No Change
polymarket · 0xf2db8d9fe4f73562ad066daaa6c38a561b44de0e3a44d4403d1645298f58eb71
Increase
polymarket · 0x6f8f6213493598ad65271b758d16c5df84c263f20fd30e0cbf81b01ef884ff8d
Decrease
polymarket · 0x8e2d06f176611eeaa0acc0df6375a77341a8ed0de385000357a1f5c3b4d50a68
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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