SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

0¢
$53K volume
$6K liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$1.8M

Best sibling

Bernard Arnault 1¢

Ticker

0xe9eb11a4…98db

Market snapshot

Larry Ellison in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?. The displayed quote is 0¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. The cached market record reports reported volume of $53K. In the Richest person on December 31, 2026? family, this outcome ranks #10 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC.

Outcome

Larry Ellison

Family rank

#10 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$53K

Family context

10 outcomes · Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Quote range

0¢-90¢

Family leader

Elon Musk 90¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0xe9eb11a4b76b9374c6d35a4613e95ba24869901d5311c62013a8b54d460c98db. Family volume: $1.8M.

Price history

0¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 25, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢2.1M
0¢16K
0¢4.8K
AskSize
0¢14
2¢200
2¢50
2¢102
3¢7
3¢138
100¢178
100¢76

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xe9eb11a4…98db

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

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