SimpleFunctions

FK Bodø/Glimt · Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt

FK Bodø/Glimt is priced at 61¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt.

Price history

61¢ current

60¢65¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026 If FK Bodø/Glimt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Outcome

FK Bodø/Glimt

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

FK Bodø/Glimt 61¢

Range

20¢-61¢

Family volume

$70K

Identifier

0xe8660f0f...58e4

May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

24h volume

$6K

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$70K

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 61¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
60¢6.9K
59¢706
58¢717
57¢841
56¢15
55¢1.0K
54¢120
45¢40
AskSize
61¢4.8K
62¢1.9K
63¢5.3K
64¢1.8K
65¢8.0K
66¢838
67¢678
68¢798

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026 If FK Bodø/Glimt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

0xe8660f0f…58e4

SF Signal
SF Index
47733.90
Regime
neutral

Event family

Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$70K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

FK Bodø/Glimt 61¢

Current share

80%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.