SimpleFunctions

Rosenborg BK · Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt

Rosenborg BK is priced at 20¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt.

Price history

20¢ current

20¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026 If Rosenborg BK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Outcome

Rosenborg BK

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

FK Bodø/Glimt 61¢

Range

20¢-61¢

Family volume

$70K

Identifier

0x6763dfe8...f70d

May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$70K

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 20¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
19¢4.1K
18¢2.1K
17¢2.7K
16¢4.3K
15¢600
14¢160
11¢756
10¢120
AskSize
20¢482
21¢1.7K
22¢808
23¢2.1K
24¢5.9K
25¢541
26¢1.5K
27¢510

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026 If Rosenborg BK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

0x6763dfe8…f70d

SF Signal
SF Index
50000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$70K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

FK Bodø/Glimt 61¢

Current share

20%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

4

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.