Uruguay to win Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
Uruguay is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner.
Price history
65¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Uruguay wins the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Uruguay
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Uruguay 62¢
Range
13¢-62¢
Family volume
$6
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN15KSAURU-URU
May 26, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$4
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$6
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Uruguay wins the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN15KSAURU-URU
Event family
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Uruguay 62¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.