Scotland to win Scotland vs Morocco
Scotland is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Scotland vs Morocco Winner.
Price history
26¢ current
Contract brief
If Scotland wins the Scotland vs Morocco professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Scotland
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Morocco 44¢
Range
24¢-44¢
Family volume
$192
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN19SCOMAR-SCO
May 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Scotland vs Morocco Winner
Closes
Jul 3, 2026
Family volume
$192
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Scotland wins the Scotland vs Morocco professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN19SCOMAR-SCO
Event family
Scotland vs Morocco Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$192
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Morocco 44¢
Current share
0%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.