Cho Sangho to win Sejong Mayoral Election
Cho Sangho is priced at 96¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 95¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Sejong Mayoral Election Winner.
Price history
96¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Outcome
Cho Sangho
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Cho Sangho 96¢
Range
4¢-96¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
0x54269af2...9aa1
May 28, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$311
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Sejong Mayoral Election Winner
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The Sejong mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Identifier
0x54269af2…9aa1
Event family
Sejong Mayoral Election Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Cho Sangho 96¢
Current share
63%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.