Iraq to win Senegal vs Iraq
Iraq is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Senegal vs Iraq Winner.
Price history
35¢ current
+31¢Contract brief
If Iraq wins the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Iraq
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Senegal 57¢
Range
10¢-57¢
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN26SENIRQ-IRQ
May 25, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Senegal vs Iraq Winner
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Iraq wins the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN26SENIRQ-IRQ
Event family
Senegal vs Iraq Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Senegal 57¢
Current share
92%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.