Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
This contract is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$3.9M
Best sibling
June 30 41¢
Ticker
0x575e8631…e5d3
Price history
9¢ current
−41¢Orderbook snapshot
9 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x575e8631…e5d3
Event family
Starmer out by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3.9M
Outcomes
3
Highest price
December 31 67¢
Current share
15%
May 15
polymarket · 0x575e86314d77231f25c16834b4f501221f215399a79fa6f5760b0a1eb7f1e5d3
June 30
polymarket · 0xbee2cd40473495f713c69b9dfbce9fc2837fa4011568222c83c83bb773e35053
December 31
polymarket · 0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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