Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
This contract is priced at 55¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 54¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$3.6M
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x348cd9ad…2187
Market snapshot
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?. The displayed quote is 55¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $182K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
55¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
24h volume
$182K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187. Family volume: $3.6M.
Price history
55¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
54 / 55¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x348cd9ad…2187
Event family
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3.6M
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 55¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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