SimpleFunctions

Switzerland to win Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Switzerland is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner.

Price history

63¢ current

+59¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Switzerland wins the Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Switzerland

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Switzerland 60¢

Range

13¢-60¢

Family volume

$35

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN18SUIBIH-SUI

May 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

63¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

24h volume

$35

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$35

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 62¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
60¢330
59¢2.0K
57¢2.0K
56¢601
55¢601
AskSize
62¢500
63¢406
64¢599
67¢2.0K
69¢2.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Switzerland wins the Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN18SUIBIH-SUI

SF Signal
SF Index
1448.14
Regime
neutral

Event family

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$35

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Switzerland 60¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

643.6%

IY (No)

1448.1%

Adj IY

1448%

CRI

2

RV

5557%

VR

5.62

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

643.6%
1448.1%
Adj IY
1448%
2
RV
5557%
VR
5.62
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.