Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30 is priced at 31¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 30¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
31¢ current
−30¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$267K
Identifier
0x2af78d63...12a7
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$14K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$267K
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x2af78d63…12a7
Event family
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$267K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30 31¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.