SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 10, 20261 days left

Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-05-10?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$5K volume
$228K liquidity
94% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$5K

Best sibling

Telstar 1963 73¢

Ticker

0x356b4405…9ba3

Market snapshot

Heracles Almelo in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-05-10?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5K. In the Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo family, this outcome ranks #3 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Heracles Almelo

Family rank

#3 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

24h volume

$5K

Family context

3 outcomes · Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo

Quote range

11¢-73¢

Family leader

Telstar 1963 73¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: 0x356b4405a8e52d9690f9202052066a346806f4e8b81345c994415e5831c39ba3. Family volume: $5K.

Price history

11¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 6, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 12¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
10¢2.0K
9¢17K
8¢7.7K
7¢8.8K
6¢1.4K
5¢38K
4¢3.4K
3¢3.9K
AskSize
12¢4.3K
13¢4.7K
14¢1.2K
15¢3.0K
16¢15K
17¢438
18¢1.4K
19¢23K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Heracles Almelo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

0x356b4405…9ba3

Event family

Telstar 1963 vs. Heracles Almelo.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Telstar 1963 73¢

Current share

94%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

7

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7
Overround
0.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index