Crockett & Cornyn · Texas Senate Election Matchup
Crockett & Cornyn is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Texas Senate Election Matchup.
Price history
0¢ current
−50¢Contract brief
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome
Crockett & Cornyn
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
Talarico & Paxton 96¢
Range
0¢-96¢
Family volume
$752K
Identifier
0xbd528fc4...7b90
May 25, 2026, 12:47 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Texas Senate Election Matchup
Closes
Mar 3, 2026
Family volume
$752K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Mar 3, 2026
Identifier
0xbd528fc4…7b90
Event family
Texas Senate Election Matchup.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$752K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Talarico & Paxton 96¢
Current share
9%
Talarico & Paxton
polymarket · 0x084f6697c5406db79ea3bc2f45e92c4c554d09806272f6c2ea90742503c178af
Talarico & Cornyn
polymarket · 0x0a9abb96b3667c4e3db9b24241fe39f48e936f0473ccbbc0948000e474ae4cfd
Crockett & Paxton
polymarket · 0xfc0f7a00d40430d2a2a514fd26bf54f567191ea513ff57aa6be3e00bf19e5346
Crockett & Cornyn
polymarket · 0xbd528fc44098e2e81569bfbf07dde6e1384e01e7d2cb15b052d70ac937977b90
Other
polymarket · 0x1f922f6176f18e85949ee87017746afd9fdab796c9edbdf9cb07add3e369bb29
Crockett & Hunt
polymarket · 0x7202a3927b1c44bb0585d756a1dde2c8a434385f5362bd532712d0dec079772a
Talarico & Hunt
polymarket · 0x05852f76870dff91648938c89bca612d55f051cfca28201650b058fc31bf5d2b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.