SimpleFunctions

Total Games for Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot

31.5 games is priced at 52¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot: Total Games: Over.

Price history

52¢ current

+31¢
25¢50¢
May 23, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 31.5 in the Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

31.5 games

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

31.5 games 47¢

Range

21¢-47¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXATPGTOTAL-26MAY24FAUVAC-32

May 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

47¢

Ask

56¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot: Total Games: Over

Closes

Jun 8, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 56¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
47¢16
46¢502
44¢800
20¢10
3¢109
AskSize
56¢930
80¢10
94¢2.0K
95¢106
96¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 31.5 in the Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 8, 2026

Identifier

KXATPGTOTAL-26MAY24FAUVAC-32

SF Signal
SF Index
2707.33
Regime
neutral

Event family

Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot: Total Games: Over.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

31.5 games 47¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2707.3%

IY (No)

2129.0%

Adj IY

2707%

CRI

1

RV

2002%

VR

2.44

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2707.3%
2129.0%
Adj IY
2707%
1
RV
2002%
VR
2.44
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.