SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 2026

Top US Netflix Movie on May 11, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$255 volume
$255 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$116K

Best sibling

Apex 1¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26MAY11-MIN

Market snapshot

Minions: The Rise of Gru in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Top US Netflix Movie on May 11, 2026?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $255. In the Top US Netflix Movie on May 11, 2026 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Outcome

Minions: The Rise of Gru

Family rank

#3 of 11

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

Reported volume

$255

Family context

11 outcomes · Top US Netflix Movie on May 11, 2026

Quote range

1¢-97¢

Family leader

Swapped 97¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26MAY11-MIN. Family volume: $116K.

Price history

1¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
41¢2.7K
45¢777
49¢54
75¢123
100¢12K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Minions: The Rise of Gru is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26MAY11-MIN

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.