Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$24K
Best sibling
Olivia Chow 77¢
Ticker
0xb7b4ffca…ff40
Market snapshot
Ana Bailão in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the Toronto Mayoral Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #3 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ana Bailão
Family rank
#3 of 8
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
4¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Oct 26, 2026
Reported volume
$3K
Family context
8 outcomes · Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Quote range
0¢-77¢
Family leader
Olivia Chow 77¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: 0xb7b4ffca1b17b0a23c07d52bb7f65b7331cbcabeec04ff6397ac058708daff40. Family volume: $24K.
Price history
4¢ current
−46¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 26, 2026
Identifier
0xb7b4ffca…ff40
Event family
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$24K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Olivia Chow 77¢
Current share
12%
Ana Bailão
polymarket · 0xb7b4ffca1b17b0a23c07d52bb7f65b7331cbcabeec04ff6397ac058708daff40
Olivia Chow
polymarket · 0x1295040186326703b63b9c7d719f8c5bb88ee6fa9672e3924f90ef74ee7b0459
Brad Bradford
polymarket · 0xbdfde2fd2472d48a0b126c360eab593687d87208a0f54a89079680af25007e92
Marco Mendicino
polymarket · 0x9d991d554fb684be902709e2589b23338e376deee8e2baf7808dec07737b3dc5
Michael Ford
polymarket · 0x91f8b502136cfc251395f237c6a02fe050ef4ab166758894d27a230308ed991c
Kevin Clarke
polymarket · 0xa8f30541b2425e5c9b684959156698ddaaefa214a86053b9273a9fb533fbe943
Anthony Furey
polymarket · 0x6bc524ffd762f834357072923abe48110ad6a117fd5cf2d52077175f5851114b
John Tory
polymarket · 0x07aecfdb8b93c2d9ee827358f7623b83cc8b1462d6e7386d4430b85b69522653
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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