Tie to win Tunisia vs Japan
Tie is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Tunisia vs Japan Winner.
Price history
29¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Tunisia vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Japan 49¢
Range
17¢-49¢
Family volume
$36
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN21TUNJPN-TIE
May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$23
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Tunisia vs Japan Winner
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Family volume
$36
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Tunisia vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN21TUNJPN-TIE
Event family
Tunisia vs Japan Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$36
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Japan 49¢
Current share
0%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.